Advisor bias happens too

As a financial advisor, I am biased.  Not because of my profession, mind you, but because of my humanity. All of us are subject to a potpourri of survival-instinct biases that happen deep in our brain stems.  It’s why a sudden, but harmless noise still makes us flinch.  It’s also why investors often behave irrationally. Since financial advisors are human too, we need to be on the look-out for these same biases.  Here are a few examples of what I mean.

Confirmation Bias.

We humans love to say, “Yup, I thought so,” which is why confirmation bias causes us to focus on information that supports our beliefs, and to tune out conflicting data.  This can cause some financial advisors to make recommendations that happen to compensate them more handsomely or that they’re being pressured to sell, to keep their job, as I covered here.

Familiarity Bias.

Once we get used to something, we tend to prefer it over the new and different.  That may be why some advisors continue recommending an inferior investment strategy even once they’ve been made aware of better solutions.  If your only tool is a hammer, sooner or later you figure out how to make every project look like it needs a nail.

Overconfidence Bias.

Confidence helps us when life gets us down.  But overconfidence is dangerous.  It tempts advisors to play fancy, high-cost tricks such as investing clients in complicated hedge funds and similar alternative strategies, believing they can be one of the lucky few who manage to “beat the market.”

Recency Bias.

Recency fools us into paying more attention to hot trends instead of more durable evidence.  When advisors get drunk on recency (especially if it’s mixed with a shot of overconfidence), they try to cherry-pick high-flying winners, mistakenly assuming immediate past performance predicts future success.  Or, conversely, a run of bad news causes them to yank their clients’ money out of the market, just in case there’s some imminent crash on the way. The good news is, once we’re aware of our biases, they become a little easier to manage.  It’s like having a detailed description of an escaped convict. At least you know what to look for. But awareness alone isn’t enough.  We know our minds are going to play tricks on us.  We know our biases may steal our best judgment.  So one of our best defences against advisor and investor biases alike is to adhere to the tenets of evidence-based investing.  There’s decades of evidence stacked against the odds of beating the market through instinct-driven market timing and stock-picking, and decades of the same supporting a more steadfast, globally diversified approach for capturing the market’s expected returns. When our vision is clouded by bias, this evidence may be “out of sight out of mind,” as the saying goes, but that doesn’t mean it isn’t there! What is evidence-based investing?  Take a look at this Q&A for a handy infographic that showcases its key features.
Steve Lowrie is a Portfolio Manager with Aligned Capital Partners Inc. (“ACPI”). The opinions expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of ACPI. This material is provided for general information, and the opinions expressed and information provided herein are subject to change without notice. Every effort has been made to compile this material from reliable sources; however, no warranty can be made as to its accuracy or completeness. Before acting on the information presented, please seek professional financial advice based on your personal circumstances. ACPI is a full-service investment dealer and a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund (“CIPF”) and the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (“CIRO”). Investment services are provided through ACPI or Lowrie Investments, an approved trade name of ACPI. Only investment-related products and services are offered through ACPI/Lowrie Investments and are covered by the CIPF.